Israel and Hamas have agreed to a hostage deal, but is the Gaza war over?

While the details remain hazy, most reports indicate that all 48 remaining hostages will need to be released by Monday at the latest.
People gather at hostage square in Tel Aviv to celebrate the ceasefire deal. After 2 years of war, Israel and Hamas have agreed on the first phase of the peace plan suggested by US President Donald Trump, where all hostages held in Gaza are to be released, and Israeli forces will withdraw to an agreed upon line. (Photo by Ilia Yefimovich/picture alliance via Getty Images)

Israel and Hamas agreed to a ceasefire and hostage release deal on Wednesday night, as part of the first phase of a plan to end the Gaza war presented by United States President Donald Trump last week.

The agreement sparked celebrations among Israelis and Palestinians early Thursday morning. Still, many of the details remain unclear, and one central question remains: Is this just a pause or the end of the war?

What does the agreement include?

While the details remain hazy, most reports indicate that all 48 remaining hostages will need to be released by Monday at the latest. In return, Israel will release about 2,000 Palestinian prisoners and withdraw to an agreed-upon line within Gaza.

The deal was set to be signed on Thursday afternoon in Egypt.

Afterwards, the Israeli cabinet was set to meet to approve the deal officially. Within 24 hours of that approval, the IDF must withdraw to the agreed-upon line. Reportedly, this will leave Israel in control of a little over 50% of Gaza.

Additionally, within 72 hours of the government approval, Hamas will need to release all of the hostages without the ceremonies it held during the last ceasefire. Hamas has claimed that it doesn’t know where nine of the bodies of the 28 deceased hostages are. It is unclear as of yet what will happen if those nine aren’t returned by the end of the deadline.

Israel, in turn, will release about 2,000 Palestinian prisoners, including 250 serving life sentences. The list of which prisoners will be released has not, as of yet, been finalized. A list of the prisoners serving life sentences who will be released will be published after the government approves the deal to allow for appeals against their release.

Only the first phase

This agreement is only the first phase of a 20-point plan released by Trump last week. At the end of this phase, Israel will still hold over half of the Gaza Strip, and Hamas will remain armed and present in Gaza.

The rest of Trump’s plan includes steps meant to lead to a complete Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and an end to the war between Israel and Hamas.

These steps include:

  • The disarmament of Hamas and other terrorist groups in Gaza.
  • The creation of an international security force to enforce this disarmament and police the Strip.
  • The creation of a technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee, joined by international experts, to temporarily govern Gaza.
  • A “Board of Peace” run by the U.S. and other countries to handle the funding for Gaza’s reconstruction.
  • The implementation of sweeping reforms in the Palestinian Authority, including educational and political reform. Once these reforms are completed, control of Gaza will be transferred from the temporary committee to the PA.

The plan includes other details as well about the entry and exit of Palestinians from the Strip and the handling of humanitarian aid.

While finalizing the hostage deal was already difficult, achieving these other steps will be even more of a challenge. Hamas has already publicly rejected many of these demands, including the requirement to disarm and to give up any role in the future governance of Gaza.

Additionally, Israel has made clear it won’t fully withdraw from Gaza until its war goals are achieved, including the dismantling of Hamas and the demilitarization of Gaza.

Hamas and Israel both presented the agreement reached on Wednesday evening differently. Israel described the deal as a hostage release agreement, while Hamas described it as a deal to end the war in Gaza.

The nine hostages Hamas claims it can’t find may also become a sticking point if they aren’t released by the end of the 72-hour deadline.

Even if the hostages are all released, that won’t necessarily mean the end of the war. In the past, ceasefire agreements between Israel and Hamas have repeatedly failed as each side accused the other of violating the terms. With no clear terms stipulating that this phase must lead to the following stages of the Trump plan, and no agreements on the details of the following phases, the conflict could easily renew after this phase is completed.

World leaders, hostage families welcome deal

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu welcomed the deal on Thursday morning, calling it a “great day for Israel.”

“I thank the heroic soldiers of the IDF and the entire security apparatus, whose bravery and sacrifice brought us to this day. I thank, from the bottom of my heart, President Trump and his team for their mobilization for the sacred task of releasing our hostages,” Netanyahu said. “God willing, we will continue together in order to achieve all our aims and expand the peace with our neighbors.”

Trump expressed hopes that the agreement on the first phase of the peace plan would be the first step toward “a Strong, Durable, and Everlasting Peace.”

“All Parties will be treated fairly! This is a GREAT Day for the Arab and Muslim World, Israel, all surrounding Nations, and the United States of America, and we thank the mediators from Qatar, Egypt, and Turkey, who worked with us to make this Historic and Unprecedented Event happen. BLESSED ARE THE PEACEMAKERS!” the president added.

“The world has come together around this deal,” Trump told Fox News on Wednesday night. The president added that he told Netanyahu that “Israel cannot fight the world,” in a conversation after the deal was reached.

Trump is expected to arrive in Israel on Sunday and may address the Knesset.

The Hostages and Missing Families Forum welcomed the agreement with “a mix of excitement, anticipation, and concern.”

The Forum stressed that “This represents important and meaningful progress toward bringing everyone home, but our struggle is not over and will not end until the last hostage returns.”

“There are 48 hostages held by Hamas. Our moral and national obligation is to bring them all home—both the living and the deceased. Their return is essential to the healing and recovery of Israeli society as a whole. We will not rest until the last hostage comes home,” the Forum added.

The Tikvah Forum, which represents a group of hostage families who opposed the practices of the Hostage and Missing Families Forum, thanked Netanyahu and Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer for their work on the deal. The Forum stressed that many of the hostage families had not yet received information about the fate of their loved ones.

“We understand the price that Israeli society will pay for our loved ones. We have been careful throughout not to pressure the State of Israel to submit to Hamas’ dictates,” the Forum said. “The State of Israel must do everything to prevent future abductions.”

Hamas described the agreement as a deal to end the war in Gaza and secure Israel’s withdrawal from the Strip.

“We highly appreciate the efforts of our mediating brothers in Qatar, Egypt, and Turkey. We also value the efforts of US President Donald Trump, who seek to bring about a definitive end to the war and a complete withdrawal of the occupation from the Gaza Strip,” Hamas added.

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